Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Matias Soto

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.46
	1.52	2.59
	1.42	2.62	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
	1.48	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
63.4%

Matias Soto
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Matias Soto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 285. Soto is ranked ATP: 287.

In recent matches, Pucinelli De Almeida has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Soto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Soto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pucinelli De Almeida will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Igor Gimenez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Enzo Kohlmann - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Pucinelli de Almeida M. retired ✺
11.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWW?W
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Matias Soto - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Matias Soto - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2
ITF Tournaments
02.11.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Matias Soto	2:1

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