Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.31	3.66
	1.29	3.55	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.14	Watch
	1.32	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
71%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's performance.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Rodriguez Taverna (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 1 - 50%). Rodriguez Taverna (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 322. Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 261.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Rodriguez Taverna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pucinelli De Almeida could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Valerio Aboian	Aboian V. retired ✺
29.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.11.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1
08.11.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0
ITF Tournaments
10.04.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna