Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: COMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday


	Mathias Bourgue		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.09	1.39
	2.96	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.35)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
31.5%

Luciano Darderi
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathias Bourgue's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathias Bourgue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathias Bourgue - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bourgue is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Darderi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bourgue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Darderi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bourgue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
30.08.23	Mathias Bourgue - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Mathias Bourgue - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Mathias Bourgue - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Henri Laaksonen - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Mathias Bourgue - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
30.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Clement Tabur - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.10.21	Mathias Bourgue - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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