Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: METZ (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Mathias Bourgue		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2
	1.75	2
	1.77	2.09
	1.78	2.09
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.9	Watch
	1.84	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
52.6%

Matteo Martineau
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathias Bourgue's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathias Bourgue that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mathias Bourgue - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bourgue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Martineau will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourgue: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bourgue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bourgue won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Metz
04.11.23	Jan Choinski - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Mathias Bourgue - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Mathias Bourgue - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Mark Lajal - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Metz
04.11.23	Matteo Martineau - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
01.11.23	Matteo Martineau - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	Robin Bertrand - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Filiberto Fumagalli - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.05.23	Mathias Bourgue - Matteo Martineau	2:0
ATP Challenger
14.09.20	Mathias Bourgue - Matteo Martineau	2:0

Mathias Bourgue - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide