Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: METZ (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Jan Choinski		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.14	1.74
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	1.67 (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
43.9%

Mathias Bourgue
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jan Choinski - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bourgue will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Choinski is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bourgue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bourgue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Choinski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
30.10.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
13.10.23	Federico Coria - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Hugo Dellien - Jan Choinski	Dellien H. retired ✺
10.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 L?L?W
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Mathias Bourgue - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Mathias Bourgue - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Mark Lajal - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.03.18	Mathias Bourgue - Jan Choinski	2:0

Jan Choinski - Mathias Bourgue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide