Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Concepcion 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matias Soto		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.21	Watch
	1.63	2.23	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	2.23 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
58.2%

Valerio Aboian
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aboian will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 244. Aboian is ranked ATP: 483.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Aboian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Soto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Soto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Matias Soto - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Matias Soto - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	Soto M. retired
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWL?
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Valerio Aboian - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Valerio Aboian - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Valerio Aboian - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Valerio Aboian - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.03.25	Valerio Aboian - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.12.23	Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Matias Soto - Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca	✺
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Nick Hardt	✺

Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian