Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Matteo Arnaldi		Federico Gaio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.36	3.15
	1.37	3.1
	1.38	3.14
	1.36	3
	1.3	3.36	Watch
	1.34	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	3.14 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
69.9%

Federico Gaio
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Gaio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	0%	17.1%

Matteo Arnaldi - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Gaio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
11.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?WWW
- Federico Gaio
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Federico Gaio - Daniel Cox	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Federico Gaio - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Federico Gaio - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Federico Gaio - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
30.05.23	Federico Gaio - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.22	Federico Gaio - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2

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