Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.57	2.35
	1.54	2.27
	1.6	2.38
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.44	Watch
	1.54	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	2.34 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
60%

Harold Mayot
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matteo Arnaldi - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mayot will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mayot is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mayot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaldi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
08.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
06.10.22	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?LWW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
12.10.22	Harold Mayot - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Emilio Nava - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
28.09.22	Jack Sock - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
ATP Metz
18.09.22	Marton Fucsovics - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.22	Harold Mayot - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

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