Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.88	1.88
	1.89	1.78
	1.95	1.87
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
49%

Matteo Arnaldi
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Shevchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Alexander Shevchenko - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Frederico Ferreira Silva	Canceled ✺
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
02.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Carlos Gomez-Herrera - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
26.09.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?LW?L
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
08.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
06.10.22	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
04.10.22	Ulises Blanch - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ?LWWW

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