Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.55	2.38
	1.53	2.5
	1.54	2.53
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	2.43 ↓ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
61.4%

Timofey Skatov
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Matteo Arnaldi - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Skatov will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Skatov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Skatov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Borna Gojo - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Michael Geerts - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
02.04.23	Pedro Sousa - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Adrian Andreev - Timofey Skatov	Andreev A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.23	Ivan Gakhov - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLL?L

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