Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.8	1.42
	3.21	1.39
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.08	1.35	Watch
	2.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.38)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
32.2%

Matteo Arnaldi
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kukushkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
06.04.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Mikhail Kukushkin	Lopez San Martin A. retired ✺
03.04.23	Gabriel Debru - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Kenny De Schepper	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
20.03.23	Altug Celikbilek - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WLLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
06.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
04.04.23	Feliciano Lopez - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Zsombor Piros - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Lukas Klein - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL

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