Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kitzbuhel (Austria) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:05	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	16:05	Max Sport 1
Denmark	15:05	TV2 Play
Finland	16:05	MTV Katsomo
Germany	15:05	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	15:05	Match 4
Netherlands	15:05	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	14:05	Sport TV2
Romania	16:05	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	15:05	TV4 Tennis


	Matteo Berrettini		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.44	3
	1.46	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)	2.91 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
67.2%

Alejandro Tabilo
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	0%	9.7%

Matteo Berrettini - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tabilo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berrettini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Matteo Berrettini - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
21.07.24	Matteo Berrettini - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
04.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alejandro Tabilo	2:3 ✺
03.07.24	Daniel Evans - Alejandro Tabilo	0:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
29.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Matteo Berrettini - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	✺

Matteo Berrettini - Alejandro Tabilo