Match Info

Date: 5 July 2020, Sunday


	Matteo Berrettini		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.25	3.8
	1.25	3.85
	1.23	3.5
	1.26	3.94
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.43)	3.76 ↑ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
75%

Alexei Popyrin
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexei Popyrin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.07.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	3:2 ✺
28.06.20	Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
27.06.20	Richard Gasquet - Matteo Berrettini	0:4 ✺
21.06.20	Benoit Paire - Matteo Berrettini	0:4 ✺
20.06.20	Feliciano Lopez - Matteo Berrettini	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Alexei Popyrin
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.07.20	Alexei Popyrin - Richard Gasquet	1:3 ✺
28.06.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexei Popyrin	3:1 ✺
27.06.20	Benoit Paire - Alexei Popyrin	0:4 ✺
21.06.20	Alexei Popyrin - Corentin Moutet	0:4 ✺
20.06.20	Alexei Popyrin - David Goffin	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.19	Matteo Berrettini - Alexei Popyrin	3:1

Matteo Berrettini - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide