Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Matteo Gigante		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2)	2.27 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
59%

Lorenzo Giustino
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Gigante's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Gigante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gigante will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Giustino will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gigante: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Gigante (votes: 6 - 60%). Giustino (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 200. Giustino is ranked ATP: 303.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLW?L
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW

Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide