Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.27	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.47
	1.29	3.47
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.31	3.44	Watch
	1.29	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.5)	3.35 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
72%

Sho Shimabukuro
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Schoolkate's performance.

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sho Shimabukuro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Tristan Schoolkate - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 50%). Shimabukuro (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Tristan Schoolkate will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 122. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 188.

Schoolkate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Schoolkate could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Schoolkate is a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schoolkate won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Jason Kubler - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Rio Noguchi - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Roberto Cid Subervi - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0
ATP Australian Open
09.01.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1

Tristan Schoolkate - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide