Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Matteo Gigante		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.36
	1.52	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.45	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.8)	2.38 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
61%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Gigante's performance.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yasutaka Uchiyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Gigante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Matteo Gigante - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gigante will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gigante: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 217. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 160.

Recent matches Gigante is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uchiyama is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Uchiyama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Gigante - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
03.03.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.25	Quentin Halys - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Luca Nardi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Matteo Gigante - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide