Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.64	2.22	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)	2.28 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
58.9%

Jozef Kovalik
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yasutaka Uchiyama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kovalik will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 156. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 124.

Uchiyama is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kovalik has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Uchiyama will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jozef Kovalik - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Dubai
22.02.25	Quentin Halys - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Luca Nardi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Mark Lajal - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Dubai
22.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Jozef Kovalik	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Dino Prizmic - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLL?L

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide