Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Jurij Rodionov		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.77
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	2.69 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
65.2%

Matteo Martineau
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Rodionov (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 154. Martineau is ranked ATP: 271.

Rodionov is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martineau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodionov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodionov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Masur - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Justin Engel - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Clement Chidekh - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2
14.03.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	0:2
03.06.24	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:1

Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide