Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday


	Lucas Poullain		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.02	1.82
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.83)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
47.3%

Matteo Martineau
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 354. Martineau is ranked ATP: 269.

Poullain has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martineau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poullain won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Martineau - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Harry Wendelken - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Clement Chidekh - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Matias Soto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Kenny De Schepper - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau	2:1
ITF Tournaments
31.03.23	Matteo Martineau - Lucas Poullain	0:2
21.01.21	Matteo Martineau - Lucas Poullain	2:1
18.02.20	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau	2:0

Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide