Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Kassel, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Matthew Donald		Adrian Oetzbach

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	2.2 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
57.3%

Adrian Oetzbach
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Donald's form might have worsened.

Adrian Oetzbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adrian Oetzbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Oetzbach than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 499. Oetzbach is ranked ATP: 684.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Donald might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Oetzbach - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Ioannis Xilas - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Arian Barbic - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Francisco Comesana - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW
- Adrian Oetzbach
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Daniel Siniakov - Adrian Oetzbach	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Justin Schlageter	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Ryo Tabata	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Andre Nemeth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW

Matthew Donald - Adrian Oetzbach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide