Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Matthew Donald		Dimitris Sakellaridis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.50
	1.23	3.70	Watch
	1.24	3.62	Watch
	1.24	3.80
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
74.7%

Dimitris Sakellaridis
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Dimitris Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitris Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Matthew Donald - Dimitris Sakellaridis Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Donald will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sakellaridis will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 468., and Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 559..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Sakellaridis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Donald for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Donald has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Matthew Donald - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Dali Blanch - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Matthew Donald - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Matthew Donald - Lorenzo Rottoli	Canceled
13.09.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLW?L
- Dimitris Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Filippo Francesco Garbero - Dimitris Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Berto	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Alessandro Ceppellini	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lorenzo Beraldo - Dimitris Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Matthew Donald - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0
12.03.25	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Matthew Donald	1:2

Matthew Donald - Dimitris Sakellaridis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide