The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Max Alcala Gurri 59.1%
Carlos Lopez Montagud 40.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.5%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Lopez Montagud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 383.Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 472.
Alcala Gurri is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Lopez Montagud has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Alcala Gurri will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Alcala Gurri will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcala Gurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.