Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 4, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Carlos Lopez Montagud		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	2.1	1.65
	2.19	1.65
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	3.7	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Lopez Montagud
39.6%

Max Alcala Gurri
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Lopez Montagud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Alcala Gurri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 483. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 422.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Lopez Montagud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Alcala Gurri will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lopez Montagud won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Eudald Gonzalez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Luka Talan Lopatic - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Ignacio Parisca - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Edas Butvilas - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.07.22	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0
25.03.22	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2
25.09.21	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2
29.07.21	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide