Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Nicholas David Ionel		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	2.7	1.4
	2.69	1.45
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.71)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nicholas David Ionel
34.8%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicholas David Ionel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Lopez Montagud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicholas David Ionel - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lopez Montagud (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ionel is ranked ATP: 616. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 483.

Ionel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lopez Montagud is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ionel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lopez Montagud might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Lopez Montagud will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicholas David Ionel - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicholas David Ionel
ITF Tournaments
04.12.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Francesco Forti - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Ivan Ivanov - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
04.12.25	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Eudald Gonzalez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Nicholas David Ionel - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide