Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Amersfoort (Netherlands), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Max Houkes		Elmer Moeller

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.95	1.8
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.94	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
47.9%

Elmer Moeller
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Max Houkes - Elmer Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Moeller will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moeller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Elmer Moeller - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.54%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Max Houkes - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Oliver Crawford - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Mathys Erhard - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Abel Forger - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Timo Legout - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW
- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Elmer Moeller - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Hazem Naw - Elmer Moeller	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Elmer Moeller	Moeller E. retired ✺
27.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Tristan Lamasine - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WL?WW

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