Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France), hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.25	3.45	Watch
	1.29	3.57	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	3.41 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
72.6%

Jelle Sels
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pierre-Hugues Herbert's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pierre-Hugues Herbert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Pierre-Hugues Herbert will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Herbert is ranked ATP: 180. Sels is ranked ATP: 367.

Herbert is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sels in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Herbert is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Herbert won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Jelle Sels - Patrick Zahraj	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Jelle Sels - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Jelle Sels - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Antoine Escoffier - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Jelle Sels - Zsombor Piros	Sels J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Jelle Sels - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels	2:0

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