Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Jacopo Berrettini		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.88	1.86	Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.88
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)	1.86 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Berrettini
50.2%

Jelle Sels
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jacopo Berrettini - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sels will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 315. Sels is ranked ATP: 291.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Daniel Evans - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gianluca Mager - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Daniel Evans - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Jelle Sels - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Jelle Sels - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Jelle Sels - Patrick Zahraj	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

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