Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Jelle Sels		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
59.1%

Milos Karol
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Jelle Sels aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Milos Karol aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jelle Sels - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: Jelle Sels will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 291. Karol is ranked ATP: 436.

Sels is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Karol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sels will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Jelle Sels - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Jelle Sels - Patrick Zahraj	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Jelle Sels - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Jelle Sels - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Christos Glavas - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Milos Karol - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Milos Karol - Demetris Azoides	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

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