Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Malta, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Maximilian Homberg

	1	2
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.39	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)	2.76 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
66.5%

Maximilian Homberg
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanis Ghazouani Durand's performance.

Maximilian Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maximilian Homberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanis Ghazouani Durand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximilian Homberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Maximilian Homberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 761. Homberg is ranked ATP: 969.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Homberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ghazouani Durand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Josip Simundza - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Branko Djuric - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Antoni Fabre	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Max Schoenhaus - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Maximilian Homberg	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Louis Van Herck - Maximilian Homberg	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Maximilian Homberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide