Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Pinoargote J. (Ecu)


	Max Purcell		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.97	1.85
	2.06	1.85
	1.98	1.86	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
48.1%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Max Purcell - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Purcell will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Purcell is ranked ATP: 68. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 513.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Max Purcell - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Max Purcell - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
30.07.24	Max Purcell - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
25.07.24	David Goffin - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Tallon Griekspoor	Canceled ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLW?L

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