Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Carnac, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Maxime Chazal		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2	1.83
	2.17	1.60	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
45.6%

Arthur Nagel
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Maxime Chazal - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 510. Nagel is ranked ATP: 434.

Chazal is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nagel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nagel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Chazal - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Nagel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Alexandre Reco - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Mickael Kaouk - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Alec Deckers - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Noah Karma - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Maxime Chazal - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide