Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Maxime Cressy		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.87	1.84	Watch
	1.96	1.87
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Cressy
49.3%

Alibek Kachmazov
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Cressy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Cressy than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Maxime Cressy - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: Alibek Kachmazov will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cressy is ranked ATP: 213. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 195.

Cressy is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kachmazov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cressy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Alibek Kachmazov - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Cressy
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.24	Maxime Cressy - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Maxime Cressy - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Maxime Cressy	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Blake Mott - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Maxime Cressy	2:1

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