Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Maxime Janvier		Mariano Kestelboim

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
	1.64	2.12	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.99	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Janvier
50.4%

Mariano Kestelboim
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Janvier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mariano Kestelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Maxime Janvier - Mariano Kestelboim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Janvier (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Janvier is ranked ATP: 433. Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 414.

Recent form of Janvier has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kestelboim has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Janvier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Janvier - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Mariano Kestelboim - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Remy Bertola - Maxime Janvier	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Alastair Gray - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Elias Ymer - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLL
- Mariano Kestelboim
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Hernan Casanova - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLW

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