Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Marta Kostyuk		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.77	2.06	Watch
	1.98	1.9
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.78	2.03	Watch
	2.28	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.37)	1.96 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
51%

Karolina Muchova
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 30 - 90.9%). Muchova will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 81.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marta Kostyuk will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Muchova is ranked WTA: 15.

Kostyuk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Muchova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kostyuk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Beijing
01.10.25	Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ella Seidel - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
19.09.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Beijing
30.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Amanda Anisimova	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired ✺
26.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
01.09.25	Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova	1:2

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