Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday


	Michael Agwi		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.7	2.17
	1.67	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.89)	2.15 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Agwi
56.5%

Francesco Maestrelli
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Agwi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Agwi's performance.

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Maestrelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Agwi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Maestrelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Michael Agwi - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Agwi will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Agwi is ranked ATP: 423. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 284.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Agwi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Agwi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Agwi
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Michael Agwi	1:2 ✺
18.11.24	Michael Agwi - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Michael Agwi - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Michael Agwi - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Jasza Szajrych - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
18.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Maxime Janvier - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Noah Karma - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Filippo Mazzola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Michael Agwi - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide