Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Michael Geerts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.79	2.05
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
50.9%

Michael Geerts
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliakim Coulibaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eliakim Coulibaly - Michael Geerts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 282. Geerts is ranked ATP: 297.

Coulibaly is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Geerts has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coulibaly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ITF Tournaments
03.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Michel Hopp	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Josip Simundza - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW
- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
03.04.26	Michael Geerts - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Michael Geerts - Duje Markovina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Michael Geerts - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Tiago Pereira - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.03.23	Michael Geerts - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1

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