Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Michael Geerts		Thijs Boogaard

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.65
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.82)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
43%

Thijs Boogaard
57%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Thijs Boogaard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thijs Boogaard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Geerts - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 297. Boogaard is ranked ATP: 844.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Boogaard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Michael Geerts - Duje Markovina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Michael Geerts - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Tiago Pereira - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Thijs Boogaard
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Miles Jones - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Thijs Boogaard - Radu Mihai Papoe	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Jan Kumstat - Thijs Boogaard	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Thijs Boogaard - Rhys Lawlor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Thijs Boogaard - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Michael Geerts - Thijs Boogaard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide