Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 6, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.07
	1.77	2.08
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
53.8%

Robert Strombachs
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Michael Geerts - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 322. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 346.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Strombachs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Geerts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Robert Strombachs - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Antoine Escoffier - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Michael Geerts - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Michael Geerts - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Michael Geerts - Mikail Alimli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Petros Tsitsipas - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Robert Strombachs - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Federico Cina - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Robert Strombachs - Michael Geerts	2:1
ITF Tournaments
01.10.20	Robert Strombachs - Michael Geerts	1:2

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