Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Robert Strombachs		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.59	1.3
	3.21	1.30	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.84)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
27.1%

Francesco Passaro
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robert Strombachs's form might have worsened.

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Robert Strombachs - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 349. Passaro is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Passaro is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Strombachs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Federico Cina - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Marko Topo - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Chris Rodesch - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Luka Pavlovic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.01.22	Francesco Passaro - Robert Strombachs	2:0

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