Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Michael Mmoh		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.13	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.82)	1.33 ↑ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Mmoh
28.8%

Karen Khachanov
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Mmoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Michael Mmoh - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mmoh will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Khachanov (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Mmoh will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mmoh (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Khachanov (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mmoh is ranked ATP: 285. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 17.

Mmoh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mmoh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khachanov is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mmoh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Mmoh
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Michael Mmoh - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Christian Garin - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
12.11.25	Cleeve Harper - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWW?W
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled ✺
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
29.08.23	Karen Khachanov - Michael Mmoh	0:3

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