Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Karen Khachanov		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.6
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.54	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	2.52 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
62.2%

Tallon Griekspoor
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Karen Khachanov - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Griekspoor (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Griekspoor (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Griekspoor (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Khachanov (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 30%). Griekspoor (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 10. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 27.

Khachanov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Griekspoor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Griekspoor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Khachanov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khachanov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty
16.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
24.09.25	Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Stockholm
13.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jannik Sinner	Sinner J. retired ✺
03.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
12.02.19	Tallon Griekspoor - Karen Khachanov	2:1

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