The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karen Khachanov 44.8%
Joao Fonseca 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karen Khachanov's form might have worsened.
Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Fonseca will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 46.5% – 86.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Khachanov is ranked ATP: 16.Fonseca is ranked ATP: 35.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khachanov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.25%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Joao Fonseca - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.