Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Michael Vrbensky		Tadeas Paroulek

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.22	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.22 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
58.4%

Tadeas Paroulek
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Vrbensky's performance.

Tadeas Paroulek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tadeas Paroulek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Vrbensky that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadeas Paroulek than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tadeas Paroulek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Vrbensky - Tadeas Paroulek Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vrbensky will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vrbensky (votes: 1 - 50%). Paroulek (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 630. Paroulek is ranked ATP: 469.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Paroulek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vrbensky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Vrbensky - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Tadeas Paroulek - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Jakub Nicod - Michael Vrbensky	Nicod J. retired ✺
07.09.25	David Pichler - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Kai Wehnelt - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WL?WL
- Tadeas Paroulek
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Orlando Luz - Tadeas Paroulek	Luz O. retired ✺
08.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Lorenzo Bocchi	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Jakub Filip	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Luke Simkiss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.06.19	Tadeas Paroulek - Michael Vrbensky	0:2

Michael Vrbensky - Tadeas Paroulek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide