Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Grandstand (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
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Michael Zheng |
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Arthur Gea |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.3 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
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2.25 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.24 |
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 |
1.69 |
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2.33 |
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1.69 |
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2.22 |
Watch |
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1.66 |
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2.3 |
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1.63 |
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2.33 |
Watch |
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1.64 |
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2.27 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.52) |
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2.28 ↓
(2.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 38.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Michael Zheng
58.1% | Arthur Gea
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Gea will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
Zheng is ranked ATP: 107. Gea is ranked ATP: 87.Now, both players are in good form.Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zheng won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Arthur Gea - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Los Cabos | | | 29.07.26 | Arthur Gea - Michael Zheng | 2:1 | | ATP Challenger | | | 09.01.26 | Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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