Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Arthur Gea		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.11	6.50
	1.11	6.00
	1.12	5.75
	1.14	6.29
	1.12	5.54	Watch
	1.11	6.15
	1.12	5.75	Watch
	1.11	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.22)	5.97 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
84.2%

Sumit Nagal
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumit Nagal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Arthur Gea - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - under (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arthur Gea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 86. Nagal is ranked ATP: 234.

Gea has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nagal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gea is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos
01.08.26	Arthur Gea - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Arthur Gea - Michael Zheng	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Max Houkes - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Martin Krumich - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW

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