Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bologna, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Michele Mecarelli		Denis Constantin Spiridon

	1	2
	1.34	2.90
	1.39	3.06
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.37	3.00
	1.36	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	2.94 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Mecarelli
68.3%

Denis Constantin Spiridon
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Mecarelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Denis Constantin Spiridon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Mecarelli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Mecarelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Constantin Spiridon than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Constantin Spiridon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michele Mecarelli - Denis Constantin Spiridon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mecarelli is ranked ATP: 902. Spiridon is ranked ATP: 1141.

Recent performances by Mecarelli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spiridon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spiridon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mecarelli is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Mecarelli
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Francesco Forti - Michele Mecarelli	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Michele Mecarelli	Vanshelboim E. Retired ✺
09.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Daniele Minighini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 L?WLW
- Denis Constantin Spiridon
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Denis Constantin Spiridon	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Michele Mecarelli - Denis Constantin Spiridon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Michele Mecarelli - Denis Constantin Spiridon Predictions

Preview

Form

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