Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Michele Ribecai		Billy Harris

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.68	2.06
	1.77	2.14
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
56.1%

Billy Harris
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Michele Ribecai - Billy Harris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ribecai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Michele Ribecai will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 350. Harris is ranked ATP: 148.

Ribecai is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Harris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ribecai will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Billy Harris - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Mili Poljicak	Poljicak M. Retired ✺
03.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LW?WW
- Billy Harris
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Billy Harris - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Billy Harris - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Billy Harris - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Darwin Blanch - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW

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