Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Billy Harris		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33
	3.22	1.39
	3.06	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.97	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.82)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
30.4%

Adrian Mannarino
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Billy Harris - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 151. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 48.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mannarino is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Darwin Blanch - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Christopher OConnell - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Marco Trungelliti - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Blaise Bicknell - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLL?L

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