Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Michele Ribecai		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.74
	1.42	2.70	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.85)	2.67 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
65%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michele Ribecai's performance.

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergio Callejon Hernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergio Callejon Hernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Michele Ribecai - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ribecai will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Callejon Hernando will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Callejon Hernando (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 429. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 565.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ribecai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ribecai could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergio Callejon Hernando - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Michele Ribecai - Giorgio Ricca	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Giles Hussey - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Amir Omarkhanov - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Yanki Erel - Michele Ribecai	Erel Y. retired ✺
25.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Igor Kudriashov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLW?W
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Leonardo Borrelli - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Remy Bertola - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Dali Blanch - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

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