Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Miguel Damas		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.87	2.01
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)	1.94 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
51.9%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Miguel Damas - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Caniato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 273. Caniato is ranked ATP: 370.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Caniato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.5%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas	Damas M. Retired ✺
03.04.26	Miguel Damas - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Miguel Damas - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LWL
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Alessandro Spadola - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Rudolf Molleker - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

Miguel Damas - Carlo Alberto Caniato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide